Beyond the statistical effect in crowd predictions: What is the impact of discussion intensity on the prediction performance of groups?

Abstract

The aggregated numerical predictions from large groups have been found to be wiser than those of most individuals. Starting with the seminal study of Galton (1917), numerous experiments in a variety of knowledge domains have... [ view full abstract ]

Authors

  1. Michael Fretschner (Hamburg University of Technology)
  2. Christian Lüthje (Hamburg University of Technology)

Topic Area

Contests, Crowdsourcing and Open Innovation

Session

MATr2B » Contests, Crowdsourcing & Open Innovation (Papers & Posters) (15:45 - Monday, 1st August, Room 112, Aldrich Hall)

Paper

Crowd_predictions.pdf