Intuitive understanding of base rates: Physician and lay estimates of predictive values in diagnostic versus screening mammography


Purpose This study examines whether physicians and other adults intuitively understand that the probability a positive test result is a true positive (positive predictive value, PPV) depends on the base rate of disease in the... [ view full abstract ]


  1. Laurel Austin (Copenhagen Business School)

Topic Areas

Decision-making and uncertainty , Citizen and stakeholder roles in risk management


T4_C » Health 3 (15:30 - Monday, 20th June, CB3.9)

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