Annual Meeting of the Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association and the Latin American Meeting of the Econometric Society 2017 Programme

2017,

9 - 11 November

Annual Meeting of the Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association and the Latin American Meeting of the Econometric Society 2017

Conference Programme

Wednesday, 8th November
Wednesday 18:45 - 20:15	Welcome cocktail Venue Banco Ciudad, Sarmiento 611, 6th floor, CABA
Thursday, 9th November
Thursday 07:30 - 09:00	Registrations
Thursday 09:00 - 09:30	Opening Ceremony Venue Montserrat
Thursday 09:45 - 11:15	Invited Sessions 1
Thursday 11:30 - 12:30	Plenary Lectures 1
Thursday 12:30 - 14:00	Lunch
Thursday 14:00 - 16:00	CS1-01A Development 1 Venue Montserrat 1
Intimate Partner Violence, Decision-Making Power and Female Employment in Colombia » Johanna Fajardo-Gonzalez (Universidad EAFIT) Subsidized Home–ownership Programs, Transaction Costs, and Domestic Violence » Martin Rossi (Universidad de San Andrés), Bruno Cardinale Lagomarsino (Universidad de San Andrés & IADB) Betting the House: How Assets Influence Marriage Selection, Marital Stability, and Child Investments » Jeanne Lafortune (Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile), Corinne Low (University of Pennsylvania) Savings Incentives » Claudia Martinez (Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile), Esteban Puentes (Universidad de Chile), Abhijit Banerjee (MIT)
Thursday 14:00 - 16:00	CS1-01B Labor 1 Venue Montserrat 2
How Does Equal Pay for Equal Work Legislation Affect Female Employment & Plant Performance? A Di erence-in-Discontinuity Design » Raffi García (Brandeis University) Glass Ceiling in Research: Evidence from a National Program in Uruguay » Daniel Bukstein (Universidad ORT Uruguay and ANII), Néstor Gandelman (Universidad ORT Uruguay) Double Discrimination: Is Discrimination in Job Ads Accompanied by Discrimination in Callbacks? » Raymundo M. Campos-Vazquez (EL COLEGIO DE MEXICO), Eva Arceo-Gomez (Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económicas CIDE) Sex Ratios and Women's Employment: How Spain and Portugal Diverged » Ana Rute Cardoso (Institute for Economic Analysis (CSIC) and Barcelona GSE), Louis-Philippe Morin (University of Ottawa)
Thursday 14:00 - 16:00	CS1-02 Banks and Market Design Venue Quinquela
Financial De-globalisation in Banking? » Agustín Bénétrix (Trinity College Dublin), Robert N. McCauley (Bank for International Settlements), Patrick M. Mcguire (Bank for International Settlements), Goetz Von Peter (Bank for International Settlements) Self-selection in School Choice » Li Chen (University of Gothenburg), Juan Pereyra (Université libre de Bruxelles) Interest Rate Risk Sharing in the Supply of Corporate Loans » Mariela Dal Borgo (Bank of Mexico) Centralized Assignment of Students to Majors: Evidence from the University of Costa Rica » Allan Hernandez-Chanto (Arizona State University)
Thursday 14:00 - 16:00	CS1-03 Empirical Industrial Organization 1 Venue Mozart
Chinese Competition and Network Effects on the Extensive Margin: Evidence from Chilean Manufacturing » Daniel Goya (Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Valparaiso) Empirical Analysis of Scoring Auctions for Oil and Gas Leases » Marcelo Sant'Anna (FGV\EPGE) Using Two-Part Contracts to Identify Cross Price Elasticities: An Application to Family Doctors » Paul Andres Rodriguez Lesmes (Universidad del Rosario), Marcos Vera-Hernandez (University College London) Market Power, Contracts and Outcomes: The Case of Patients with Long-term Diseases in the Colombian Health Care System » Juan Esteban Carranza (CEEII - Banco de la Republica), Álvaro Riascos (Quantil - Universidad de los Andes - CEEII - Banco de la República), Natalia Serna (Quantil)
Thursday 14:00 - 16:00	CS1-04 Finance 1 Venue Chopin
Flexible and Mandatory Banking Supervision » Jorge Ponce (Banco Central del Uruguay and Universidad de la Republica), Alessandro De Chiara (Central European University), Luca Livio (Université libre de Bruxelles) Financial Crises and Lending of Last Resort in Open Economies » Luigi Bocola (Northwestern University), Guido Lorenzoni (Northwestern University) Evaluating Informational Regulations in the Credit Market » Carlos Noton (CEA-DII, Universidad de Chile), Ana Maria Montoya (Universidad de Chile), Alex Solis (Uppsala University) Fighting For The Best, Losing With The Rest: A case for barriers to entry into financial intermediation » Juan Hernandez (InterAmerican Development Bank), Daniel Wills (Universidad de Los Andes)
Thursday 14:00 - 16:00	CS1-05 Firms and Politicians Venue Verdi
Rule of Law Presence and Firms' Growth: The Persistent Effects of the Colonial Period » Alvaro Cox (PUC-Rio) The Value of Revolving Doors in Public Procurement » Klenio Barbosa (Insper Institute of Education and Research), Stephane Straub (Toulouse School of Economics) Sleeping with the Enemy: Political Connections and Firm Risk » Martin Rossi (Universidad de San Andrés), Christian Ruzzier (Universidad de San Andrés) The Logic of Cronyism in State Violence: Evidence from Labor Repression During Argentina's Last Dictatorship » Esteban Klor (The Hebrew University of Jerusalem), Sebastian Saiegh (University of California, San Diego), Shanker Satyanath (New York University)
Thursday 14:00 - 16:00	CS1-06 Fiscal Rules Venue Picasso
The Value of Constraints on Discretionary Government Policy » Fernando Martin (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis) Fiscal Rules and the Sovereign Default Premium » Francisco Roch (International Monetary Fund), Leonardo Martinez (International Monetary Fund), Juan Carlos Hatchondo (Indiana University) Consumption Smoothing and Shock Persistence: Optimal Simple Fiscal Rules for Commodity Exporters » Arthur Galego Mendes (PUC-Rio), Steven Pennings (World Bank) Fiscal Rules and Fiscal Performance: World Evidence » Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel (Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile), Raimundo Soto (Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile)
Thursday 14:00 - 16:00	CS1-07 Labor 2 Venue Miro
The Impact of Digital Technologies on Routine Tasks: Do Labor Policies Matter? » Rita Almeida (The World Bank), Carlos Henrique Corseuil (IPEA), Jennifer Poole (American University) Linking Growth, Changes in Employment and Changes in Poverty in Latin America in the 2000s » Guillermo Cruces (Centro de Estudios Distributivos, Laborales y Sociales (CEDLAS), Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Universidad Nacional de La Plata), Gary Fields (University of Cornell), David Jaume (University of Cornell), Mariana Viollaz (Centro de Estudios Distributivos, Laborales y Sociales (CEDLAS), Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Universidad Nacional de La Plata)
Thursday 14:00 - 16:00	CS1-08 Macroeconomics 1 Venue Dali
Non-Linear Distortion-Based Effects of Tax Changes on Output: A Worldwide Narrative Approach » Samara Gunter (Colby College), Daniel Riera-Crichton (Bates College), Carlos Vegh (World Bank), Guillermo Vuletin (The Brookings Institution) Saving Rates in Latin America: A Neoclassical Perspective » César E. Tamayo (InterAmerican Development Bank), Andres Fernandez (InterAmerican Development Bank), Ayse Imrohoroglu (University of Southern California) Detecting Regime Shifts in Euro Area Government Bond Risk Pricing: The Impact of the Financial Crisis » Barbara Sadaba (Bank of Canada) Current Expenditure Upswings in Good Times and Capital Expenditure Downswings in Bad Times? New Evidence from Developing Countries » Martin Ardanaz (InterAmerican Development Bank), Alejandro Izquierdo (InterAmerican Development Bank)
Thursday 14:00 - 16:00	CS1-09 Political Economy 1 Venue Iglesia San Juan Bautista
The Political Economy of the Expropriation of Church Wealth in XIX Century Colombia » Mateo Uribe-Castro (University of Maryland) Identification of Dynastic Power in Contexts with Spanish Naming Conventions » Alonso Ahumada (ITAM), José Ramón Enríquez (ITAM), Emilio Gutiérrez (ITAM) Political Openness and Armed Conflict: Evidence from Local Councils in Colombia » Hector Galindo Silva (Pontificia Universidad Javeriana) Political Hazards and the Choice of Contracting: The Case of Municipal Bonds » Marian Moszoro (George Mason University), Pablo Spiller (University of California, Berkeley)
Thursday 14:00 - 16:00	CS1-10 Regional and Urban Economics 1 Venue Soldi
Weekly Hedonic House Price Indices: An Imputation Approach from a Spatio-Temporal Model » Robert Hill (University of Graz), Alicia Rambaldi (The University of Queensland), Michael Scholz (University of Graz) Unexpected Guests: The Impact of Internal Displacement Inflows on Rental Prices in Colombian Host Communities » Emilio Depetris Chauvin (Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile) Intra-Jurisdictional Tax Variations, Vertical Differentiation and Housing Prices » Carlos Sepulveda (Universidad del Rosario), Juan Miguel Gallego (Universidad del Rosario), Sergio Montoya (Universidad del Rosario) Credit Supply and House Prices: Exploring Discontinuities in Financing Limits of a Government Program in Brazil » Marina Gontijo (EPGE-FGV), Felipe Iachan (FGV\EPGE), João De Mello (Insper), Bruno Martins (Brazilian Central Bank)
Thursday 14:00 - 16:00	CS1-12 Trade 1 Venue Moliere
Labor Provisions in Preferential Trade Agreements: Are They a Source of Uncertainty? » Alejandro Graziano (University of Maryland) Export Survival and Foreign Financing » Laura D Amato (Banco Central de la Republica Argentina, UBA), Maximo Sangiacomo (Banco Central de la Republica Argentina, UNLP), Martin Tobal (Banco de México) Import Price and Quality Adjustment during a Large Devaluation » Irene Brambilla (CONICET-UNLP), Andrés César (CEDLAS-FCE-UNLP) Importing after Exporting » Facundo Albornoz (University of Nottingham), Ezequiel Garcia-Lembergman (UC-Berkeley)
Thursday 14:00 - 16:00	CS1-13 Econometric Theory 1 Venue Room 13
Panel Models with Two Threshold Variables: The Case of Financial Constraints » Nelson Ramirez-Rondan (Universidad del Pacifico), Arturo Lamadrid (Banco de México) Robust Standard Errors to Spatial and Time Dependence in Panel Models When Neither N nor T is Very Large » Lucciano Villacorta (Central Bank of Chile) Semi-parametric Dynamic Models for Ordinal Categorical Panel Data » Brajendra Sutradhar (Carleton and Memorial University)
Thursday 14:00 - 16:00	CS1-14 Econometric Theory 2 Venue Room 14
Revisiting the Synthetic Control Estimator » Bruno Ferman (Sao Paulo School of Economics-FGV), Cristine Pinto (Sao Paulo School of Economics-FGV) A Unified Robust Bootstrap Method for Sharp/Fuzzy Mean/Quantile Regression Discontinuity/Kink Designs » Harold Chiang (Vanderbilt University), Yu-Chin Hsu (Academia Sinica), Yuya Sasaki (Vanderbilt University), Fangzhu Yang (Johns Hopkins University) Regression Discontinuity Designs Using Covariates » Sebastian Calonico (University of Miami), Matias Cattaneo (University of Michigan, Ann Arbor), Max Farrell (The University of Chicago Booth School of Business), Rocio Titiunik (University of Michigan) Identification and Estimation of Spillover Effects in Randomized Experiments » Gonzalo Vazquez-Bare (University of Michigan, Ann Arbor)
Thursday 14:00 - 16:00	CS1-15 Economic Theory 1 Venue Room 15
Cooperation in Social Dilemmas through Position Uncertainty » Andrea Gallice (University of Turin), IGNACIO MONZON (Collegio Carlo Alberto) Optimal Relevance in Imperfect Information Games » Jorge Miguel Streb (Universidad del CEMA) On the Advantages and Disadvantages of Being the First Mover Under Rules of k Names » Salvador Barberà (Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona and Barcelona GSE. Departament dEconomía i Història Econòmica), Danilo Santa Cruz Coelho (Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada) Using Auctions to Choose Time and Side in Armageddon Chess Games » Maximiliano Gabriel Miranda-Zanetti (Universidad Nacional del Sur), Fernando Tohmé (Universidad Nacional del Sur - CONICET)
Thursday 16:00 - 16:30	Coffee break
Thursday 16:30 - 17:30	Plenary Lectures 2
Thursday 17:45 - 19:15	CS2-01A Development 2 Venue Montserrat 1
Does Forced Eradication Spread Coca Cultivation? » Eleonora Davalos (Universidad EAFIT), Leonardo Morales (Banco de la Republica de Colombia) Bright investments: Measuring the impact of transport infrastructure using luminosity data in Haiti » Oscar Mitnik (InterAmerican Development Bank), Raul Sanchez (InterAmerican Development Bank), Patricia Yañez (Inter-american Investment Corporation) Pushing Crime Around the Corner? Estimating Experimental Impacts of Large-Scale Security Interventions (nominated to the Juan Luis Londoño Prize to best paper on social issues by a young researcher) » Santiago Tobon (Universidad de Los Andes), Christopher Blattman (University of Chicago), Donald Green (Columbia University), Daniel Ortega (CAF - Banco de Desarrollo de América Latina)
Thursday 17:45 - 19:15	CS2-01B Labor 3 Venue Montserrat 2
Unemployment Insurance with Informal Labor Markets: Evidence from Brazil » Janis Skrastins (Washington University in St. Louis), Bernardus Van Doornik (Banco Central do Brasil), David Schoenherr (Princeton University) Do Unemployment Insurance Extensions Reduce Skill Mismatches? » Adriana Kugler (Georgetown University), Ammar Farooq (Georgetown University) Moral Hazard versus Liquidity and the Optimal Timing of Unemployment Benefits » Rodolfo Campos (Banco de España), J. Ignacio Garcia-Perez (Universidad Pablo de Olavide), Iliana Reggio (Universidad Carlos III de Madrid)
Thursday 17:45 - 19:15	CS2-02 Antitrust Venue Quinquela
Do LPG prices react to the entry of Natural Gas? Implications for Competition Policy » Vicente Lagos (Telecom ParisTech), Aldo González (Universidad de Chile) Firm Financing Scope » Felipe Balmaceda (DIego Portales University) Market Power absent Merger Review. Brewing in Peru » Ariel Casarin (Universidad Adolfo Ibáñez), Magdalena Cornejo (Universidad Torcuato Di Tella), Maria Eugenia Delfino (Universidad de Los Andes)
Thursday 17:45 - 19:15	CS2-03 Corporate Finance Venue Mozart
Capital Inflows, Equity Issuance Activity, and Corporate Investment » Charles Calomiris (Columbia University), Mauricio Larrain (Catholic University of Chile), Sergio Schmukler (World Bank) Focused Estimation in Portfolio Selection Problems » Rosember Guerra (Universidad EAFIT), Andrés Ramírez Hassan (Universidad EAFIT) Taxation in an Asset Pricing Model with Dispersed Information » Marina Rossi (Universidade de Brasilia)
Thursday 17:45 - 19:15	CS2-04 Education 1 Venue Chopin
Upstream and Downstream Impacts of College Merit-Based Financial Aid for Poor Students » Juliana Londono-Velez (University of California, Berkeley), Catherine Rodriguez (Universidad de Los Andes), Fabio Sanchez Torres (Universidad de Los Andes) Targeted or Universal? Mobilizing Students Through School Vouchers » Cristian Sanchez (University of Maryland) Competition and the Cannibalization of College Quality » Paola Bordon (University of Chile), Chao Fu (University of Wisconsin–Madison), Jean-François Houde (University of Cornell), Ana María Gazmuri (University of Toulouse)
Thursday 17:45 - 19:15	CS2-05 Education 2 Venue Verdi
Starting Off On the Right Foot: Impact of a Better Elementary School » Eugenio Giolito (Universidad Alberto Hurtado), Julio Caceres-Delpiano (Universidad Carlos III de Madrid) Leave them Kids Alone! The Positive Effect of Abolishing Grade Retention on Pupils' Dropout Rates: Evidence from a Policy Change » Francisco Cabrera (CREFAL) Double-Shift High Schools and School Performance: Evidence from Regression Discontinuity Design » Eva Arceo-Gomez (Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económicas CIDE), Raymundo M. Campos-Vazquez (EL COLEGIO DE MEXICO)
Thursday 17:45 - 19:15	CS2-06 Finance 2 Venue Picasso
Capital Controls and Firm Performance: The Effects of the Chilean Encaje » Eugenia Andreasen (Universidad de Santiago de Chile), Evangelina Dardati (Universidad Alberto Hurtado), Sofia Bauducco (Banco Central de Chile) Effects of Productive Credit through Public Development Banks: Evidence from Rural Mexico » Gabriela Aparicio (InterAmerican Development Bank), Maria Paula Gerardino (InterAmerican Development Bank), Oscar Mitnik (InterAmerican Development Bank) Public Debt and Private Firm Funding: Evidence from Chinese Cities » Ugo Panizza (The Graduate Institute), Yi Huang (The Graduate Institute), Marco Pagano (Universita di Napoli, Federico II)
Thursday 17:45 - 19:15	CS2-07 Financial Macroeconomics Venue Miro
Dominant Currency Paradigm » Federico Diez (Federal Reserve Bank of Boston), Camila Casas (Banco de la Republica), Gita Gopinath (Harvard University), Pierre-olivier Gourinchas (University of California, Berkeley) Foreign Exchange Intervention and the Dutch Disease » Ruy Lama (IMF) Large Currency Depreciations and Menu Costs » Federico Grinberg (International Monetary Fund)
Thursday 17:45 - 19:15	CS2-08 International Finance 1 Venue Dali
Financial Crises, Coordination Failures and Disasters » Caio Machado (PUC-Chile) Effects of Capital Controls on Foreign Exchange Liquidity » Carlos Cantu Garcia (Bank for International Settlements) Interest Arbitrage under Capital Controls: Evidence from Reported Entrepôt Trades » Haishan Yuan (The University of Queensland), Jiafei Hu (The University of Queensland)
Thursday 17:45 - 19:15	CS2-09 Monetary Policy 1 Venue Iglesia San Juan Bautista
Central Bankers' Preferences and Attitudes Towards Uncertainty » Anna Orlik (Federal Reserve Board) Central Bank Preferences and the Changing Nature of the Real Exchange Rate » Michael Pedersen (Central Bank of Chile), Rodrigo Caputo (Central Bank of Chile) The Poor and the Rich: Preferences Over Inflation and Unemployment » Marc Hofstetter (Universidad de Los Andes), Jose Nicolas Rosas (InterAmerican Development Bank)
Thursday 17:45 - 19:15	CS2-10 Natural Disasters Venue Soldi
The Effects of Natural Disasters on Labor Market: Do Hurricanes Increase Informality? » Camilo Pecha (Universidad Autonoma de Barcelona) Ten Years After an Earthquake, What is Left? New Evidence on the Destruction and Reconstruction Effects of Natural Disasters on Developing Countries » César Huaroto (Universidad Nacional de La Plata), Jose Luis Flor Toro (Northwestern University) Are Disaster Funds Enough to Smooth Consumption? » Julieth Santamaria (University of Minnesota), Adan Silverio Murillo (University of Minnesota)
Thursday 17:45 - 19:15	CS2-11 Economic Theory 2 Venue Borges
Communication and Cooperation in Repeated Games » Yu Awaya (University of Rochester), Vijay Krishna (Pennsylvania State University) Insisting on Fair Divisions in Sequential Bargaining with Asymmetric Information » Özgür Yılmaz (Koç University) Reputation and Information Design » Ennio Stachetti (New York University), David Pearce (New York University), Laurent Mathevet (New York University)
Thursday 17:45 - 19:15	CS2-12 SMEs Venue Moliere
Supporting SMEs to Export: The Importance of the Dynamics and Sequence of the Effects » Lucas Figal Garone (Universidad de San Andrés & IDB), Alessandro Maffioli (Inter-american Investment Corporation), Federico Bernini (Universidad de San Andrés), Victoria Castillo (OEDE - MINISTRY OF LABOR - ARGENTINA) The Barriers to Workers' Safety in SMEs: Lessons Learned from a Set of RCTs » Francisco Brahm (Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile), Jeanne Lafortune (Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile), Jose Tessada (Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile) Tax Compliance Costs and Employment in SMEs: Evidence from a Size-dependent Policy in Brazil » Cleiton Franco (UNEMAT), Breno Sampaio (Universidade Federal de Pernambuco and PIMES-UFPE), Gustavo Sampaio (UFPE), Paulo Vaz (Universidade Federal de Pernambuco and PIMES-UFPE)
Thursday 17:45 - 19:15	CS2-13 Economic Theory 3 Venue Room 13
(Group) Strategy-Proofness in Many-to-Many Matching Markets » Matteo Triossi (Universidad de Chile), Antonio Romero-Medina (Universidad Carlos III) One-to-One Optimal Stable Matchings with Indifferences » Noelia Juarez (Instituto de Matemática Aplicada San Luis (UNSL-CONICET)), Pablo A. Neme (Instituto de Matemática Aplicada San Luis), Jorge Oviedo (Instituto de Matemática Aplicada San Luis) Binary Operations and Lattice Structure for a Many-to-Many Matching Model » Paola Belén Manasero (Instituto de Matemática Aplicada San Luis), Alejandro Neme (Instituto de Matemática Aplicada San Luis)
Thursday 17:45 - 19:15	CS2-14 Regional and Urban Economics 2 Venue Room 14
Shocks in the Cities: The Economic Impact of Water Shocks in Latin American Metropolitan Areas » Sophie Rodella (World Bank), Sebastien Desbureaux (World Bank) Gross Migration, Housing and Urban Population Dynamics » Marcelo Veracierto (Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago) High-skilled workers' Spatial Concentration and Cities' Productivity: The Case of Latin America » Miguel Vargas (Universidad Diego Portales)
Thursday 17:45 - 19:15	CS2-15 Economic Theory 4 Venue Room 15
Weak Informativeness: An Information Order with Variable Prior » Bernhard Eckwert (Bielefeld University) Information Aggregation in Large Auctions » Maximilian Mihm (New York University Abu Dhabi), Lucas Siga (New York University Abu Dhabi) On the time consistency of collective preferences » Luis Alcala (Universidad Nacional de San Luis-CONICET)
Friday, 10th November
Friday 08:00 - 09:30	CS3-01A Applied Microeconomic Theory Venue Montserrat 1
Distorted Quality Signals in School Markets (nominated to the Juan Luis Londoño Prize to best paper on social issues by a young researcher) » José Ignacio Cuesta (University of Chicago), Felipe Gonzalez (PUC-Chile), Cristián Larroulet (CU Boulder) The Mating Game: Intergenerational Choices on Marital Arrangements » Gabriela Rubio (UC Merced) Shadow Banking and the Four Pillars of Financial Intermediation » Emmanuel Farhi (Harvard University), Jean Tirole (Toulouse School of Economics)
Friday 08:00 - 09:30	CS3-01B Health 1 Venue Montserrat 2
Short-term Health Effects of Soda Taxes in Areas with Low Access to Safe Drinking Water » Adrian Rubli (Brown University), Emilio Gutiérrez (ITAM) Historical Migration and Contemporary Health » Pablo Selaya (University of Copenhagen), Carl-Johan Dalgaard (University of Copenhagen), Thomas Barnebeck Andersen (University of Southern Denmark), Christian Skovsgaard (University of Southern Denmark) Bittersweet: How Prices of Sugar-Rich Foods Contribute to the Diet-Related Disease Epidemic in Mexico (nominated to the Juan Luis Londoño Prize to best paper on social issues by a young researcher) » Tadeja Gracner (RAND Corporation)
Friday 08:00 - 09:30	CS3-02 Agriculture Venue Quinquela
The Causes and Consequences of the Spatial Organization of Agriculture in Brazil » Heitor Pellegrina (New York University Abu Dhabi) Agricultural Input Subsidies, Credit Constraints and Aid Expectations: Evidence from Haïti » Jérémie Gignoux (Paris School of Economics), Karen Macours (Paris School of Economics), Daniel Stein (IDinsight), Kelsey Wright (IPA) Land Market Distortions: Theory and Evidence from Guatemala » Manuel Hernandez (IFPRI), Miguel Robles (The World Bank), Danilo Trupkin (Ministerio de Trabajo y Universidad de Buenos Aires)
Friday 08:00 - 09:30	CS3-03 Banks 1 Venue Mozart
Measuring the Stance of Monetary Policy in a Time-Varying World » Fernando Perez Forero (Banco Central de Reserva del Peru) Survey Design and Forecast Accuracy » Wagner Gaglianone (Central Bank of Brazil), Raffaella Giacomini (UCL), Joao Victor Issler (Getulio Vargas Foundation), Vasiliki Skreta (UCL) Monetary and Fiscal Policies Interactions in Mexico: 1981-2016 » Alberto Ortiz Bolaños (Center for Latin American Monetary Studies and EGADE), Andre Martinez Fritscher (Private Consultant), Sebastián Cadavid Sánchez (Center for Latin American Monetary Studies)
Friday 08:00 - 09:30	CS3-04 Development 3 Venue Chopin
New Evidence on How Universal Child Care Inﬂuenced Child Care Decisions and Child Development in Canada » Weili Ding (Queen's University and NYU-Shanghai), Steven Lehrer (Queen’s University, NYU-Shangai and NBER), Michael Kottelenberg (Huron University College) Is Results-Based Aid more effective than Input-Based Aid? Evidence from the Health Sector in El Salvador » Pedro Bernal (InterAmerican Development Bank), Pablo Celhay (Universidad Católica de Chile), Sebastián Martínez (InterAmerican Development Bank) Vocational Training for Disadvantaged Youth in Colombia: An Assessment of Its Long Term Effects on Crime » Carlos Medina (Banco de la Republica), Orazio Attanasio (University College London), Costas Meghir (Yale University), Christian Posso (Banco de la Republica de Colombia)
Friday 08:00 - 09:30	CS3-05 Education 3 Venue Verdi
Teacher Performance Pay and Student Learning: Evidence from a Nationwide Program in Peru » Maria Lombardi (University of Gothenburg), Cristina Bellés Obrero (Universitat de Girona) Teacher Preferences in Developing Countries: Evidences from the City of Sao Paulo, Brazil » Leonardo Rosa (Stanford University) Teacher Quality and Cross Country Differences in Student Achievements » Gonzalo Zunino (Universidad Autónoma de Madrid)
Friday 08:00 - 09:30	CS3-06 Education 4 Venue Picasso
Intergenerational transmission of education across three generations » A. Hector Moreno M. (Paris School of Economics) Sexuality Education, Teacher Practices, and Student Knowledge: an evaluation of the Program for Education in Sexuality and the Construction of Citizenship (PESCC) » Darwin Cortes (Universidad del Rosario), Carmen Elisa Florez (Universidad del Rosario), Carolina Ibarra (Universidad de Los Andes), Daniel Martinez (Universidad del Rosario), Germán Pulido (Universidad del Rosario), Elvia Vargas (Universidad de Los Andes) Does Encouraging Social Promotion Affect Educational Outcomes? » Olga Namen (University of Chicago - Harris School of Public Policy)
Friday 08:00 - 09:30	CS3-07 Finance 3 Venue Miro
Sowing the Seeds of Financial Crises: Endogenous Asset Creation and Adverse Selection » Nicolas Caramp (UC Davis) Trading Costs and Informational Efficiency » Eduardo Davila (New York University), Cecilia Parlatore (New York University) Corporate Debt and Capital Controls » Emilio Espino (Universidad Torcuato Di Tella), Constantino Hevia (Universidad Torcuato Di Tella)
Friday 08:00 - 09:30	CS3-08 Labor 4 Venue Dali
Life-Cycle Patterns of Earnings Shocks » Martin Lopez-Daneri (Temple University) Two Stories of Wage Dynamics in Latin America: Different Policies, Different Outcomes » Gustavo Canavire-Bacarreza (Universidad EAFIT), Luis Carlos Carvajal Osorio (Universidad EAFIT) Wage Cyclicality of New and Continuing Jobs: Evidence from Chilean Tax Records » Juan Marcos Wlasiuk (Central Bank of Chile), Matías Tapia (Central Bank of Chile), Elías Albagli (Central Bank of Chile), Gabriela Contreras (Central Bank of Chile)
Friday 08:00 - 09:30	CS3-09 Labor 5 Venue Iglesia San Juan Bautista
Labor Demand Responses to Payroll Taxes in an Economy with Wage Rigidity: Evidence from Colombia » Oscar Becerra (Universidad de Los Andes) Household Job Search and Labor Supply of Secondary Earners in the Family » Solange Gonçalves (University of São Paulo), Naercio Menezes-Filho (Insper and University of São Paulo), Renata Narita (University of São Paulo) The Effect of Child Disability on Parents' Labour Supply: Evidence from Colombia » Diego Amador (Universidad de Los Andes), Mónica Pinilla-Roncancio (Universidad de Los Andes)
Friday 08:00 - 09:30	CS3-10 Migration Venue Soldi
Does Information Change Attitudes Towards Immigrants? Representative Evidence from Survey Experiments (nominated to the Juan Luis Londoño Prize to best paper on social issues by a young researcher) » Diego Ubfal (Bocconi University), Alexis Grigorieff (University of Oxford), Christopher Roth (University of Oxford) Migration, FDI and the margins of trade » Hillel Rapoport (Paris School of Economics), Amandine Aubry (OECD), Ariell Reshef (Paris School of Economics) The Dynamic Migration Game: A Structural Econometric Model and Application to Rural Mexico » Ruben Rojas Valdes (University of California at Davis), C.-Y. Cynthia Lin Lawell (Cornell University), J. Edward Taylor (University of California at Davis)
Friday 08:00 - 09:30	CS3-11 Public Economics 1 Venue Borges
Breaking-up: Do Smaller Jurisdictions Provide Better Public Services? » Marcelo Castro (Universidade Federal de Uberlandia), Daniel Da Mata (IPEA) Do Integrated Public Services for Women Boost Utilization? Effects of Ciudad Mujer in El Salvador » Monserrat Bustelo (InterAmerican Development Bank), Sebastián Martínez (InterAmerican Development Bank), Michelle Perez (Self), Julio Rodriguez (Self)
Friday 08:00 - 09:30	CS3-12 Taxation Venue Moliere
Relocation of the Rich: Migration in Response to Top Tax Rate Changes from Spanish Reforms » Dirk Foremny (Universitat de Barcelona), David Agrawal (University of Kentucky) Taxing Firms Facing Financial Frictions » Daniel Wills (Universidad de Los Andes), Gustavo Camilo (Cornerstone Research) Tax Audits as Scarecrows. Evidence from a Large-Scale Field Experiment » Guillermo Cruces (CEDLAS-FCE-UNLP), Ricardo Perez-Truglia (University of California, Los Angeles), Marcelo Bérgolo (Universidad de la República), Rodrigo Ceni (Universidad de la República), Matías Giaccobasso (Universidad de la República)
Friday 08:00 - 09:30	CS3-13 Economic Theory 5 Venue Room 13
Memory and Similarity: a Graph-Theoretic Model for Case Based Decision Theory » Fernando Tohmé (Universidad Nacional del Sur - CONICET), Federico Contiggiani (Universidad Nacional de Río Negro - Instituto de Investigación en Políticas Públicas y Gobierno (IIPPG)), Diego Caramuta (Universidad Nacional del Sur) Local and Global Optima in Decision-Making: a Sheaf-theoretical Analysis of the Difference between Classical and Behavioral Approaches » Fernando Tohmé (Universidad Nacional del Sur - CONICET), Gianluca Caterina (Endicot College), Rocco Gangle (Endicott College)
Friday 08:00 - 09:30	CS3-14 Economic Theory 6 Venue Room 14
Not All Majority-based Social Choice Functions Are Obviously Strategy-proof » R. Pablo Arribillaga (Instituto de Matemática Aplicada San Luis (UNSL-CONICET)), Alejandro Neme (Instituto de Matemática Aplicada San Luis), Jordi Massó (Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona and Barcelona GSE. Departament dEconomía i Història Econòmica) Pareto Undominated Allocation by Strategy-Proof Mechanisms » Agustín Bonifacio (Instituto de Matemática Aplicada San Luis (UNSL-CONICET)) Rationing Rules and Stable Coalition Structures » Oihana Gallo (University of the Basque Country), Elena Inarra (University of the Basque Country)
Friday 08:00 - 09:30	CS3-15 Behavioral Economics Venue Room 15
On the State and Wealth Dependence of Risk Aversion: An Analysis Using Severance Pay Allocation » Giuseppe Rose (University of Calabria), Patrizia Ordine (University of Calabria) Naïve versus Sophisticated Mixing: Experimental Evidence » Christian Alcocer (Pontificia Universidad Javeriana), Robert Shupp (Michigan State University), Thomas Jeitschko (Michigan State University) Risk Attitudes and Fairness: Theory and Experiment » Kristian Lopez Vargas (University of California, Santa Cruz)
Friday 09:30 - 10:00	Coffee break
Friday 10:00 - 11:30	Invited Sessions 2
Friday 11:45 - 12:45	LACEA Presidential Address Venue Montserrat
Friday 12:45 - 14:15	Lunch
Friday 14:15 - 16:15	CS4-01A Institutions Venue Montserrat 1
Does Institutional Framework Matter for Economic Specialization? Disaggregated Province-Level Evidence from Spain » Juan Sebastian Mora Sanguinetti (Bank of Spain), Rok Spruk (University of Ljubljana - Laibach, Faculty of Economics) The Paradox of Civilization: Pre-Institutional Sources of Security and Prosperity » Ernesto Dal Bo (University of California, Berkeley), Pablo Hernandez (New York University Abu Dhabi), Sebastian Mazzuca (Johns Hopkins University) The Cries of the Harvesters: A Natural Experiment on the Intergenerational Effects of Slavery » Luis Carlos Reyes (Pontificia Universidad Javeriana), Jeffrey Penney (Doctorado Queen s University) Is Extraction Bad? Encomienda and Development in Colombia Since 1560 » Jean-Paul Faguet (London School of Economics), Fabio Sanchez Torres (Universidad de Los Andes), Camilo Andrés Matajira Gaitán (Paris School of Economics)
Friday 14:15 - 16:15	CS4-01B Labor 6 Venue Montserrat 2
Estimating Country Heterogeneity in Capital-Labor Substitution Using Panel Data » Lucciano Villacorta (Cen) Skill Premium Divergence: The Roles of Trade, Capital and Demographics » Stanley Cho (University of New South Wales), Julian Diaz (Loyola University Chicago) Employment Protection, Informality, and Business Cycles in Emerging Economies » Gustavo Leyva (Banco de México), Carlos Urrutia (ITAM) Public Sector and the Allocation of Skills in the Labor Market » Ana Beatriz Pousada (PUC-Rio), Gabriel Ulyssea (PUC-Rio)
Friday 14:15 - 16:15	CS4-02 Empirical Industrial Organization 2 Venue Quinquela
Price Dynamics with Customer Markets » Nicholas Trachter (Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond), Luigi Paciello (Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance), Andrea Pozzi (Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance) An Empirical Analysis of Competitive Nonlinear Pricing » Gaurab Aryal (University of Virginia), M. Florencia Gabrielli (Conicet - UNCuyo) Dynamic Effects of Price Promotions: Field Evidence, Consumer Search, and Supply-Side Implications » Andrés Elberg (Universidad Diego Portales) Intraweek Demand Variability and the Dynamics of Retail Gasoline Prices » Carlos Hurtado (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign), Julia Gonzalez (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign)
Friday 14:15 - 16:15	CS4-03 Finance 4 Venue Mozart
Debtor Protection, Credit Redistribution, and Income Inequality » M. Fabiana Penas (Universidad Torcuato Di Tella) Market Power and Aggregate Efficiency in Financial Crises » Fernando Giuliano (The World Bank), Gabriel Zaourak (University of California, Los Angeles) Parameter Learning, Sequential Model Selection and Bond Return Predictability » Andras Fulop (ESSEC Business School Paris-Singapore), Junye Li (ESSEC Business School Paris-Singapore), Runqing Wan (ESSEC Business School Paris-Singapore) Adverse Selection in Annuity Markets » Manuel Willington (Universidad Adolfo Ibáañez), Eduardo Fajnzylber (Universidad Adolfo Ibáañez), Matías Pizarro (Instituto Nacional de Estadísticas)
Friday 14:15 - 16:15	CS4-04 Firms 1 Venue Chopin
Competition, Innovation and Within-Plant Productivity: Evidence from Chilean Plants » Alvaro Garcia Marin (Universidad de Chile), Ana Paula Cusolito (The World Bank), William Maloney (The World Bank) International Quality Certification: Signaling to Whom? Impact on Firm Performance in Latin America and the Caribbean » Federico Bernini (Universidad de San Andrés), Lucas Figal Garone (Inter-american Investment Corporation), Alessandro Maffioli (Inter-american Investment Corporation) Adjustment Costs, Financial Constraints and the Persistence of Misallocation in China » Gustavo Camilo (Cornerstone Research), Andre Victor Luduvice (University of Pennsylvania) The Impact of Managers on Firm Productivity: a Team Performance Analysis » Ines Black (Universidad Autonoma de Barcelona)
Friday 14:15 - 16:15	CS4-05 Impacts of Family Structure Venue Verdi
Where Did It Go Wrong? Marriage and Divorce in Malawi » Laurens Cherchye (University of Leuven), Bram De Rock (Université libre de Bruxelles), Frederic Vermeulen (University of Leuven), Selma Walther (University of Warwick) Extended Families in Mexico and the United States » Maria Eugenia Genoni (The World Bank), Gabriela Farfan (The World Bank), Andrea Velasquez (University of Colorado Denver), Duncan Thomas (Duke University, Economics Department) Family Structure and Child Development in Chile: A Longitudinal Analysis of Household Transitions Involving Fathers and Grandparents » Sarah Reynolds (University of California, Berkeley), Lia Fernald (University of California, Berkeley), Julianna Deardorff (University of California, Berkeley), Jere Behrman (University of Pennsylvania) Household Income Inequality and Education in Marriage Market in Brazil: an empirical study » Lorena Hakak (Insper Institute of Education and Research), Sergio Firpo (Insper)
Friday 14:15 - 16:15	CS4-06 Industrial Organization 1 Venue Picasso
Convincing Early Adopters: Price Signals and Information Transmission » Nicolás Figueroa (Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile), Carla Guadalupi (Universidad de las Islas Baleares) Product Choice and Price Discrimination in Markets with Search Costs » Juan-Pablo Montero (PUC-Chile), Natalia Fabra (Universidad Carlos III) Strategic Durability with Sharing Markets » Maryam Razeghian (Ecole Polytechnique Federale de Lausanne (EPFL)), Thomas Weber (Ecole Polytechnique Federale de Lausanne (EPFL)) Online Quality with Endogenous Organization » Matthew Ellman (InstitutAnalisi Economica (CSIC), and Barcelona GSE), Tomás Rodríguez (Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona and Barcelona GSE. Departament dEconomía i Història Econòmica)
Friday 14:15 - 16:15	CS4-07 Monetary Policy 2 Venue Miro
Monetary Policy and Bank Lending Terms: Evidence from US Loans » Gustavo Suárez (Federal Reserve Board), Giovanni Dell'Ariccia (International Monetary Fund), Luc Laeven (European Central Bank) Cross-Border Bank Flows and Monetary Policy » Horacio Sapriza (Federal Reserve Board) Business Loans and the Transmission of Monetary Policy » Santiago Barraza (Universidad de San Andrés), Andrea Civelli (University of Arkansas), Nicola Zaniboni (Transparent Value LLC) Debt Constraints and Monetary Policy » Diemo Dietrich (Newcastle University), Jong Shin (Newcastle University), Mich Tvede (University of East Anglia)
Friday 14:15 - 16:15	CS4-08 Political Economy 2 Venue Dali
Populism and the Return of the "Paranoid Style": Some Evidence and a Simple Model of Demand for Incompetence as Insurance against Elite Betrayal » Rafael Di Tella (Harvard Business School), Julio Rotemberg (Harvard Business School) Electoral Accountability, Checks and Balances and Political Gridlock » Álvaro Forteza (dECON-FCS-Universidad de la República), Juan Pereyra (Departamento Economía. Facultad de Ciencias Sociales. Universidad de la República.) The Trade-Off between Governance and Checks and Balances » Álvaro Forteza (Universidad de la República), Juan Pereyra (Université libre de Bruxelles) A Positive Theory of Red Tape » Braz Camargo (Sao Paulo School of Economics-FGV), Guilherme Stein (FEE)
Friday 14:15 - 16:15	CS4-09 Political Economy 3 Venue Iglesia San Juan Bautista
When Collective Ignorance is Bliss: Theory and Experiment on Voting for Learning » Boris Ginzburg (Universidad Carlos III de Madrid), Jose-Alberto Guerra (Universidad de Los Andes) A Few Signatures Matter: Candidacy Requirements in Italian Local Elections » Santiago Perez Vincent (Università Bocconi) Voters Sometimes Provide the Wrong Incentives. The Lesson of the Brazilian Drought Industry » Francisco Cavalcanti (University of Barcelona (UB) & Barcelona Economics Institute (IEB)) Voting for Quality? The Impact of School Quality Information on Electoral Outcomes » Marina Dias (UC-Berkeley), CLAUDIO FERRAZ (PUC-)
Friday 14:15 - 16:15	CS4-10 Poverty Venue Soldi
But… What is the Poverty Rate Today? Testing Poverty Nowcasting Methods in Latin America and the Caribbean » German Caruso (The World Bank), Leonardo Lucchetti (The World Bank), Eduardo Malasquez (The World Bank), Raul Castaneda (The World Bank), Thiago Scot (UC-Berkeley) Aspirations Adaptation among the Poor (nominated to the Juan Luis Londoño Prize to best paper on social issues by a young researcher) » Raimundo Undurraga (CEA-DII, Universidad de Chile), Paul Gertler (UC-Berkeley), Sebastian Galiani (University of Maryland) Should You Leave an Antipoverty Programme? Effects of Recertifying Participants in Colombia's Familias en Accion » Juan Miguel Villa (InterAmerican Development Bank), Armando Barrientos (University of Manchester) Effects of Food Prices on Poverty: The Case of Paraguay, a Food Exporter and a Non-Fully Urbanized Country » Maria Ana Lugo (World Bank), Santiago Garriga (Paris School of Economics), Jorge Puig (Universidad de La Plata, Dep Economia)
Friday 14:15 - 16:15	CS4-12 Sovereign Debt, Shocks and Fiscal Reforms Venue Moliere
Sovereign Illiquidity and Recessions » Violeta Gutkowski (Brown University) Credit Ratings and Sovereign Default » Carlos Uribe Teran (Universidad San Francisco de Quito), Xavier Mateos-planas (Queen Mary University of London) Assessing the Credibility of Fiscal Reforms: An Application to the U.S. Budget Sequestration Spending Cuts » Ruiyang Hu (Southern Methodist University), Carlos Zarazaga (Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas) Inquiry on the Transmission of U.S. Aggregate Shocks to Mexico: A SVAR Approach » Julio Carrillo (Banco de México), Rocio Elizondo (Banco de México), Luis Hernandez (Banco de México)
Friday 14:15 - 16:15	CS4-13 Econometric Theory 3 Venue Room 13
A Simple Test foir Conditional Restrictions with Incomplete Information » Manuel Dominguez (Universidad Complutense), Ignacio Lobato (ITAM) General Tests for Nonlinear Restrictions Under Local Misspecification » Gabriel Montes-Rojas (Universidad de Buenos Aires), Walter Sosa-escudero (Universidad de San Andrés), Anil Bera (University of Illinois) Multivariate Specification Tests Based on a Dynamic Rosenblatt Transform » Igor Kheifets (ITAM) Efficient Parameter Estimation for Multivariate Jump-Diffusions » François Guay (Cornerstone Research), Gustavo Schwenkler (Boston University)
Friday 14:15 - 16:15	CS4-14 Macroeconomics and Labor Venue Room 14
The Cyclical Behavior of Unemployment and Wages under Information Frictions » Camilo Morales-Jimenez (Federal Reserve Board) Calvo Wages vs. Search Frictions: A Horse Race in a DSGE Model of a Small Open Economy » Juan Guerra-Salas (Central Bank of Chile), Markus Kirchner (Central Bank of Chile), Rodrigo Tranamil (Central Bank of Chile) Closing the Retirement Door and the Lump of Labor » Pietro Garibaldi (University of Torino) Retirement Investments Through the Life Cycle and Individual Risk Aversion in a Defined Contribution Retirement System » Marcela Parada-Contzen (Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile)
Friday 14:15 - 16:15	CS4-15 Macroeconomics 2 Venue Room 15
The Gilded Bubble Buffer » Xavier Freixas (Universitat Pompeu Fabra), David Perez-Reyna (Universidad de Los Andes) Credit Bubbles and Misallocation » Pierluca Pannella (University of British Columbia) Collateral Booms and Information Depletion » alberto martin (CREI and Universitat Pompeu Fabra), Vladimir Asriyan (CREI and Universitat Pompeu Fabra), Luc Laeven (European Central Bank) Credit Frictions, Firm-Level Uncertainty and Long-Run Growth » Santiago Acosta Ormaechea (International Monetary Fund), Atsuyoshi Morozumi (University of Nottingham)
Friday 16:15 - 16:45	Coffee break
Friday 16:45 - 18:15	Invited Sessions 3
Friday 18:30 - 19:30	LAMES Presidential Address Venue Montserrat
Friday 20:00 - 23:00	Conference Dinner Venue Tango Porteño, Cerrito 570, CABA
Saturday, 11th November
Saturday 09:15 - 09:45	Coffee break
Saturday 09:45 - 11:15	Invited Sessions 4
Saturday 11:30 - 12:30	Plenary Lectures 3
Saturday 12:30 - 14:00	Lunch
Saturday 14:00 - 16:00	CS5-01A Crime Venue Montserrat 1
Police-Monitored Cameras and Crime » Ignacio Munyo (Universidad de Montevideo), Martin Rossi (Universidad de San Andrés) Deportation, Crime, and Victimization (nominated to the Juan Luis Londoño Prize to best paper on social issues by a young researcher) » Sandra V Rozo (USC Marshall School of Business), Therese Anders (USC) Wandering Astray: Teenages' Choices of Schooling and Crime » Nicolas Grau (Universidad de Chile) Impact of a Judicial System Reform on Police Behavior: Evidence on Juvenile Crime in Colombia » Ana Ibanez (Universidad de Los Andes), Catherine Rodriguez (Universidad de Los Andes), Amy Ritterbush (Universidad de Los Andes)
Saturday 14:00 - 16:00	CS5-01B Conditional Cash Transfers Venue Montserrat 2
Delivering Conditional Cash Transfers Through Bank Accounts: An experimental Evaluation » Abhijit Banerjee (MIT), Claudia Martinez (Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile), Esteban Puentes (Universidad de Chile) Paying Patients for Prenatal Care: The Effect of a Small Cash Transfer on Stillbirths and Survival » Pablo Celhay (Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile), Julia Johannsen (InterAmerican Development Bank), Sebastián Martínez (InterAmerican Development Bank), Cecilia Vidal (InterAmerican Development Bank) Evidence from a Randomized Evaluation of the Household Welfare Impacts of Conditional and Unconditional Cash Transfers Given to Mothers or Fathers » Richard Akresh (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign), Damien de Walque (The World Bank), Harounan Kazianga (Oklahoma State University) Youth Responses to Cash Transfers: Evidence from Brazil » Cecilia Machado (EPGE-FGV and IZA), Christiane Szerman (EPGE-FGV), Valdemar Pinho Neto (EPGE-FGV)
Saturday 14:00 - 16:00	CS5-02 Business Cycles Venue Quinquela
The Macroeconomics of Itaipu » Andrés Neumeyer (Banco Central de la Republica Argentina), Constantino Hevia (Universidad Torcuato Di Tella), Javier Charotti (Banco Central de Paraguay) Emerging Economies Business Cycles: The Role of Commodity Terms of Trade News » Nadav Ben Zeev (Ben-Gurion University of the Negev), Evi Pappa (European University Institute), Alejandro Vicondoa (Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile) Commodity Prices and Business Cycles in Small Open Economies: The Role of News Shocks » Marcelo Alves da Silva (Universidade Federal de Pernambuco and PIMES-UFPE), Lucicleyton Farias (Universidade Federal de Pernambuco and PIMES-UFPE) Commodity Booms and Busts in Emerging Economies » Thomas Drechsel (London School of Economics), Silvana Tenreyro (London School of Economics)
Saturday 14:00 - 16:00	CS5-03 Development 4 Venue Mozart
Time-Varying Capital Intensities and the Hump-Shaped Evolution of Economic Activity in Manufacturing » Luis Felipe Sáenz (University of Illinois) Industrial Policies and Economic Development » Ernest Liu (Princeton University) Exports of Primary Goods and Human Capital Accumulation in Latin America » Cem Karayalcin (FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL UNIVERSITY), Yulin Hou (FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL UNIVERSITY) Development accounting using PIAAC data » Zoe Kuehn (Universidad Autónoma de Madrid), Ana Hidalgo-cabrillana (Universidad Autónoma de Madrid), Cristina Lopez-Mayan (Euncet Business School)
Saturday 14:00 - 16:00	CS5-04 Education 5 Venue Chopin
Targeted Remedial Education: Experimental Evidence from Peru » Juan Saavedra (University of Southern California), Emma Naslund-Hadley (InterAmerican Development Bank), Mariana Alfonso (InterAmerican Development Bank) Long-Lasting Effects of Promoting Literacy – Do When and How to Learn Matter? » Guilherme Hirata (IDados), Paulo Oliveira (IESE Business School and IDados) Reducing Parent-School Information Gaps and Improving Education Outcomes: Evidence from High Frequency Text Messaging in Chile » Samuel Berlinski (InterAmerican Development Bank), Matias Busso (InterAmerican Development Bank), Claudia Martinez (Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile), Taryn Dinkelman (DARTMOUTH COLLEGE) Teaching with the Test: Experimental Evidence on Diagnostic Feedback and Capacity-Building for Public Schools in Argentina » Rafa de Hoyos (World Bank), Alejandro Ganimian (Abdul Latif Jameel Poverty Action Lab (J-PAL) South Asia), Peter Holland (World Bank)
Saturday 14:00 - 16:00	CS5-05 Health 2 Venue Verdi
Evaluating the Impact of Physicians' Provision on Primary Healthcare: Evidence from Brazil's More Doctors Program » Luiz Felipe Campos Fontes (Pontifical Catholic University of Rio Grande do Sul), Otavio Canozzi Conceição (Pontifical Catholic University of Rio Grande do Sul), Paulo Jacinto (Federal University of Paraná) Reimagining the Waiting Room: The Impact of Delivering Parenting Interventions Through Health Services » Florencia Lopez Boo (InterAmerican Development Bank) Effects of an Early Stimulation Curriculum for a National Public Parenting Program in Colombia on Child Development: A Cluster-Randomized Controlled Trial » Raquel Bernal (Universidad de Los Andes), Orazio Attanasio (University College London), Costas Meghir (Yale University), Marta Rubio-codina (InterAmerican Development Bank), Helen Henningham (Bangor University) The Effect of Basic Health Insurance for the Poor on Adult Mortality Risks: Mexico's Seguro Popular » Tobias Pfutze (FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL UNIVERSITY)
Saturday 14:00 - 16:00	CS5-06 Industrial Organization 2 Venue Picasso
Monopolistic Competition and Inadequate Demand for Factors of Production » Christodoulos Stefanadis (University of Piraeus) Intermediary Commissions in a Regulated Market with Heterogeneous Customers » Pilar Alcalde (Universidad de los Andes, Chile), Bernardita Vial (Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile) Competitive Real Options under Private Information » Felipe Iachan (FGV\EPGE), Leandro Gorno (FGV\EPGE) Private Contracts in Two-Sided Markets » Gaston Llanes (Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile), Francisco Ruiz-Aliseda (Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile)
Saturday 14:00 - 16:00	CS5-07 International Finance 2 Venue Miro
Can Interest Rate Factors Explain Exchange Rate Fluctuations? » Julieta Yung (Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas) Why Might the Old Want to Honor Sovereign Debt? » Martin Gonzalez-Eiras (University of Copenhagen) Corporate Dollar Debt and Depreciations: All's Well that Ends Well? » Julian Caballero (Inter-american Investment Corporation) Assessing the Appropriate Size of Relief in Sovereign Debt Restructuring » Martin Guzman (Columbia University), Domenico Lombardi (Centre for International Governance Innovation)
Saturday 14:00 - 16:00	CS5-08 Macroeconomics 3 Venue Dali
A New Way to Quantify the Effect of Uncertainty » Alexander Richter (Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas), Nathaniel Throckmorton (College of William and Mary) On the Possibility of Informative Equilibria in Futures Markets with Feedback » Augusto Nieto Barthaburu (Universidad Nacional de Tucumán), Robert Lieli (Central European University) On the (In)consistency of RE Modeling » Daniel Heymann (Universidad de Buenos Aires (IIEP-BAIRES, UBA-CONICET) and Universidad de San Andrés), Paulo Pascuini (Universidad de Buenos Aires (IIEP-BAIRES, UBA-CONICET)) On Precautionary Money Demand » Sergio Salas (Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Valparaiso)
Saturday 14:00 - 16:00	CS5-09 Macroeconomics 4 Venue Iglesia San Juan Bautista
Fiscal Policy, Sovereign Risk, and Unemployment » Javier Bianchi (Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis), Pablo Ottonello (University of Michigan), Ignacio Presno (Federal Reserve Board) Revisiting the Exchange Rate Pass-Through: A General Equilbrium Perpespective » Javier Garcia-Cicco (Universidad Católica Argentina), Mariana Garcia (Central Bank of Chile) A Dynamic Macroeconomic Model with Endogenous Energy-Sector Policies: Constrained-Optimal and Political-Economy-Constrained Equilibria » Enrique Kawamura (Universidad de San Andrés) A New Identification of Fiscal Shocks Based on the Information Flow » Giovanni Ricco (University of Warwick)
Saturday 14:00 - 16:00	CS5-10 Monetary Policy 3 Venue Soldi
Monetary Policy and Carry Trade » Jose Ignacio Lopez (Universidad de Los Andes) Mutual Fund Flows, Monetary Policy and Financial Stability » Ayelen Banegas (Federal), Gabriel Montes-Rojas (Universidad de Buenos Aires), Lucas Siga (New York University Abu Dhabi) Monetary Policy under Financial Exclusion » Amartya Lahiri (University of British Columbia), Rajesh Singh (Iowa State University) Financial Conditions and Monetary Policy in Uruguay: An MS-VAR Approach » Elizabeth Bucacos (Banco Central del Uruguay)
Saturday 14:00 - 16:00	CS5-11 Political Economy 4 Venue Borges
Future Welfare Gains: The Engagement of Adolescent Girls in Politics » Paulo Arvate (Sao Paulo School of Business Administration-FGV), Sergio Firpo (Insper), Renan Pieri (Insper) Wealth Inequality and the Political Economy of Financial and Labor Markets » Ronald Fischer (Universidad de Chile), Diego Huerta (Banco Central de Chile) Meet the Oligarchs: Business Legitimacy, State Capacity and Taxation » Rafael Di Tella (Harvard Business School), Juan Dubra (Universidad de Montevideo), Alejandro Lagomarsino (Harvard University) The Dynamics of Political Compromise, Political Institutions and Economic Policies » Alvaro Aguirre (Central Bank of Chile)
Saturday 14:00 - 16:00	CS5-12 Deforestation and Climate Change Venue Moliere
Protected Areas Under Weak Institutions: Evidence from Colombia » Leonardo Bonilla Mejia (Banco de la Republica), Iván Higuera-Mendieta (Banco de la Republica) The Effects of Crop-to-Beef Relative Prices on Deforestation: Evidence from the Tapajós Basin » Arthur Bragança (PUC-Rio) Micro-Climate Engineering for Climate Change Adaptation in Agriculture » Itai Trilnick (UC-Berkeley), Benjamin Gordon (UC-Berkeley), David Zilberman (UC-Berkeley) Power Plants and Deforestation: Recent Evidence from the Amazon » Juliano Assunção (PUC-Rio), Francisco Costa (EPGE-FGV), Dimitri Szerman (PUC-Rio)
Saturday 14:00 - 16:00	CS5-13 Econometric Theory 4 Venue Room 13
Targeting Policies: Multiple Testing and Distributional Treatment Eﬀects » Steven Lehrer (Queen’s University, NYU-Shangai and NBER), Vincent Pohl (University of Georgia), Kevin Song (University of British Columbia) Economic Predictions with Big Data: The Illusion of Sparsity » Domenico Giannone (Federal Reserve Bank of New York), Michele Lenza (European Central Bank), Giorgio Primiceri (Northwestern University) Identification and Estimation of Affiliated Private Values Auctions with Unobserved Heterogeneity » Jorge Balat (The University of Texas at Austin) Optimal Invariant Tests in an Instrumental Variables Regression With Heteroskedastic and Autocorrelated Errors » Marcelo Moreira (FGV\EPGE), Geert Ridder (University of Southern California)
Saturday 14:00 - 16:00	CS5-14 Labor 7 Venue Room 14
Unintended Consequences of Maternity Leave Legislation in Colombia » Ana Tribin (Banco de la Republica de Colombia), Carmiña Vargas (Banco de la Republica de Colombia) Gender Differences in Occupational Aspirations, Occupational Choices and Returns to Skills: Evidence from the Philippines » Juan Camilo Chaparro (Universidad EAFIT) Selection on Ability and the Early Career Growth in the Gender Wage Gap » Gustavo Gonzaga (PUC-Rio), Rodrigo Soares (Columbia University), Eduardo Fraga (Yale University) The Effects of Firms' Pay Policies and Equal Pay Laws on the Gender Wage Gap in Chile » Gabriel Cruz (Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile), Tomas Rau (Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile)
Saturday 14:00 - 16:00	CS5-15 Labor 8 Venue Room 15
Why is Europe Falling Behind? Structural Transformation and Services' Productivity Differences between Europe and the U.S. » Cesare Buiatti (University of Illinois), Joao Duarte (University of Cambridge), Luis Felipe Sáenz (University of Illinois) Quality Growth: From Process to Product Innovation along the Path of Development » Esteban Jaimovich (University of Surrey) Measuring Human Capital Using Labor Market Data: An Application to the Study of Cross-Country Economic Growth » Luiz Brotherhood (FGV), Joao Victor Issler (Getulio Vargas Foundation) Deconstructing Job Search Behavior » Stefano Banfi (Ministerio de Energía), Sekyu Choi (University of Bristol), Benjamin Villena (Universidad de Chile)
Saturday 16:00 - 16:30	Coffee break
Saturday 16:30 - 18:00	CS6-01A Trade 2 Venue Montserrat 1
The Macroeconomic Effects of Trade Policies » Andrea Raffo (Federal Reserve Board), andrea prestipino (Federal Reserve Board), Christopher Erceg (Federal Reserve Board) Quantitative Trade Models: Developments and Challenges » Timothy Kehoe (University of Minnesota), Pau Pujolàs (McMaster University), Jack Rossbach (Georgetown University) Commodity Prices and Sovereign Default: A New Perspective on The Harberger-Laursen-Metzler Effect » Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis)
Saturday 16:30 - 18:00	CS6-01B Social Mobility Venue Montserrat 2
The Role of Universities in Intergenerational Social Mobility: Examining Mobility at the Federal University of Pernambuco, Brazil (UFPE) » Suzanne Duryea (InterAmerican Development Bank), Monserrat Bustelo (InterAmerican Development Bank), Luísa Baptista de Freitas (InterAmerican Development Bank), Luana Marques Garcia (InterAmerican Development Bank), Breno Sampaio (Universidade Federal de Pernambuco Recife), Claudia Piras (InterAmerican Development Bank), Gustavo Sampaio (Universidade Federal de Pernambuco Recife) Intergenerational Social Mobility in Mexico and its Regions. Results from Rank-Rank Regressions » Marcelo Delajara (Espinosa Yglesias Research Center (CEEY)), Dositeo Graña (Espinosa Yglesias Research Center (CEEY)) Inequality of Opportunity in Mexico » Roberto Velez-Grajales (Centro de Estudios Espinosa Yglesias), Luis Angel Monroy-Gomez-Franco (The Graduate Center, CUNY), Gaston Yalonetzky (University of Leeds)
Saturday 16:30 - 18:00	CS6-02 Banks 2 Venue Quinquela
Government Guarantees, Transparency, and Bank Risk-Taking » Tito Cordella (The World Bank), Giovanni Dell'Ariccia (International Monetary Fund), Robert Marquez (University of California, Davis) Countercyclical Prudential Tools in an Estimated DSGE Model » Serafin Frache (Banco Central del Uruguay), Jorge Ponce (Banco Central del Uruguay), Javier García-cicco (Banco Central de Chile) On the Welfare Cost of Bank Concentration » Alexandre Janiak (Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile), Sofia Bauducco (Banco Central de Chile)
Saturday 16:30 - 18:00	CS6-03 Education 6 Venue Mozart
The Economics Behind the Math Gender Gap: Colombian Evidence on the Role of Sample Selection » Juan Munoz (University of Illinois) Girls vs. Boys: Who is Dropping Out of School Because of Bullying? » Adan Silverio Murillo (University of Minnesota) Follow the Leader: Student Strikes, School Absenteeism and Long Term Implications for Education Outcomes » Gonzalo Gaete (University of Warwick)
Saturday 16:30 - 18:00	CS6-04 Female Labor Force Participation Venue Chopin
The Rise of Female Labor Force Participation and Changes in the Wage Structure: Evidence from Structural Estimates in Mexico » Manuel Fernandez (University of Oxford) Woman Labor Force Participation and the Twin Shock: Using a Two-Period Panel CENSUS Data of Low Income Women in a Developing Country » Christian Posso (Banco de la Republica de Colombia) Economic Cycle and Deceleration of Female Labor Force Participation in Latin America » Joaquín Serrano (CEDLAS-FCE-UNLP), LEONARDO GASPARINI (CEDLAS-FCE-UNLP), Mariana Marchionni (CEDLAS-FCE-UNLP), Pablo Gluzmann (CEDLAS-FCE-UNLP)
Saturday 16:30 - 18:00	CS6-05 Finance 5 Venue Verdi
Do Foreign Investors Under-Perform? An Empirical Decomposition into Style and Flows » Alvaro Pedraza (World Bank), Fredy Pulga (Universidad de La Sabana), Jose Vasquez (World Bank) Short-Selling Restrictions and Returns: a Natural Experiment » Marco Bonomo (Insper), João De Mello (Insper), Lira Mota (Columbia University) Supply Shocks, Futures Prices, and Trader Positions » Nicolas Merener (Universidad Torcuato Di Tella), Joseph Janzen (Montana State University)
Saturday 16:30 - 18:00	CS6-06 Firms 2 Venue Picasso
Do Multinational Companies Shift Profits out of Developing Countries? New Evidence » Caroline Schimanski (United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research(UNU-WIDER) , Hanken School of Economics) Skill Biased Entrepreneurial Decline » Faisal Sohail (Washington University in St. Louis), Helu Jiang (Washington University in St. Louis) The Effects of Local Industry Competition and Trade on Economic Productivity: Evidence from the Mexican Manufacturing Industry » Carlos Rodriguez-Castelan (World Bank), Luis-Felipe Lopez-Calva (World Bank), Oscar Barriga-Cabanillas (University of California, Davis)
Saturday 16:30 - 18:00	CS6-07 Inequality and Segregation Venue Miro
Segregation by Income » Casilda Lasso de la Vega (Universidad del País Vasco), Oscar Volij (Ben Gurion University) Measuring True Income Inequality in Mexico » Miguel Reyes (Universidad Iberoamericana), Graciela Teruel (Universidad Iberoamericana), Miguel Lopez (Universidad Iberoamericana Puebla) Exploring the Sources of Downward and Upward Biases in Measuring Inequality of Opportunity » Adan Leobardo Martinez Cruz (ETH-Zurich)
Saturday 16:30 - 18:00	CS6-08 International Finance 3 Venue Dali
Sudden Stops of Capital Flows: Do Foreign Assets Behave Differently from Foreign Liabilities? » Manuel Agosin (Universidad de Chile), Juan Díaz (Harvard University), Mohit Karnani (Universidad de Chile) International Equilibrium Portfolios and Capital Flows » David Kohn (Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile), Emilio Espino (Universidad Torcuato Di Tella) Domestic Antidotes to Sudden Stops » Alejandro Izquierdo (InterAmerican Development Bank), Eduardo Cavallo (InterAmerican Development Bank), John Jairo Leon (University of Maryland)
Saturday 16:30 - 18:00	CS6-09 Labor 9 Venue Iglesia San Juan Bautista
The Effect of One-on-One Assistance on the Compliance with Labor Regulation: A Field Experiment in Extremely Vulnerable Settings » Alejandro Cid (Universidad de Montevideo), Jose Maria Cabrera (Erasmus School of Economics), Marianne Bernatzky (Yale University) Enforcement Matters: The Effective Regulation of Labor » Ravi Kanbur (Cornell), Lucas Ronconi (CIAS & CONICET) The Effect of Exports on Labor Informality: Evidence from Argentina » Romina Safojan (Tilburg University - TIAS)
Saturday 16:30 - 18:00	CS6-10 Labor 10 Venue Soldi
Impact of High Quality Training on Productivity: Evidence from an Intervention in Retail » Graciana Rucci (InterAmerican Development Bank), Sergio Urzúa (University of Maryland), María Fernanda Prada (InterAmerican Development Bank) Can Business Input Improve the Effectiveness of Worker Training? Evidence from Brazil's Pronatec-MDIC » Stephen O'Connell (MIT), Lucas Mation (IPEA), Joao Bastos (World Bank), Mark Dutz (The World Bank) Dynamic Treatment Effects of On-the-Job Training » Fernando Saltiel (University of Maryland, College Park), Sergio Urzúa (University of Maryland), Jorge Rodriguez (University of Chicago)
Saturday 16:30 - 18:00	CS6-11 Public Economics 2 Venue Borges
The Welfare Effects of Tax Progressivity in a Frictional Labor Market » Alessandra Pizzo (Universidad de Chile) Optimal Mirrleesian Taxation in Non-competitive Labor Markets » Carlos Eugenio Da Costa (FGV\EPGE), Lucas Maestri (FGV\EPGE) Climate Equity and Optimal Carbon Taxes » Maria Elisa Belfiori (Colorado State University)
Saturday 16:30 - 18:00	CS6-12 Regional and Urban Economics 3 Venue Moliere
Moving Citizens and Deterring Criminals: Innovation inPublic Transport Facilities » Gustavo Canavire-Bacarreza (Universidad EAFIT), Joaquin Urrego (World Bank), Juan Carlos Duque (Universidad EAFIT) Crime in Buenos Aires City: Prices, Welfare and Location » Sonia León (UADE), Omar O. Chisari (UADE - CONICET), Maria Priscila Ramos (UADE - CONICET) Subways and Urban Air Pollution » Marco Gonzalez-Navarro (University of Toronto), Matthew Turner (Brown University), Nicolas Gendron-Carrier (University of Toronto), Stefano Polloni (Brown University)
Saturday 16:30 - 18:00	CS6-13 Economic Theory 7 Venue Room 13
Good Lies » Filippo Pavesi (University of Verona & Stevens Institute of Technology), Massimo Scotti (University of Technology (UTS)) One-dimensional Screening without Single-Crossing: The Monotone Functions Case » Carolina Parra (IMPA), Sergei Vieira (IBMEC), Aloisio Araujo (IMPA) Endogenous Correlation and Moral Hazard » Rene Kirkegaard (University of Guelph), Pierre Fleckinger (MINES ParisTech)
Saturday 16:30 - 18:00	CS6-14 Economic Theory 8 Venue Room 14
The Value of a Draw » Oscar Volij (Ben Gurion University), Casilda Lasso de la Vega (Universidad del País Vasco) A Characterization of Strongly Stable Fractional Matchings » Pablo A. Neme (Instituto de Matemática Aplicada San Luis), Jorge Oviedo (Universidad Nacional de San Luis) Learning Through Search » Christian Krestel (Aalto University), Juuso Valimaki (Aalto University)
Saturday 16:30 - 18:00	CS6-15 Collective Action and Social Norms Venue Room 15
Collective Action in Networks: Evidence from the Chilean Student Movement » Felipe Gonzalez (PUC-Chile) The Power of Example - Corruption Spurs Corruption » Nicolas Ajzenman (Sciences Po) Rationalizing Repugnance: Prohibiting and Protecting Transactions to Prevent Dominance » Romans Pancs (ITAM), Patrick Harless (University of Glasgow)

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